Wednesday, February 15, 2006

Baseball again

The draw has obviously been set up for the US to progress as unhindered as possible to the final. The other strongest side in their half, and reflected in the betting, is Japan, so a semi-final between the two is anticipated. Which makes the 20-1 price offered by VC a bit large, with 1/3 the odds each way, so, should that all pan out, it's giving better than 5-1 on Japan in a one-off game which is way too big, especially when the USA has no obvious ace pitcher for that scenario, and of course, should they do so, then 20-1 on a one-off final. I don't genuinely think Japan without their MLB stars will be strong enough to beat USA but they're likely to be more committed pre-season, and the price is just too good not to take.

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