Tuesday, November 08, 2005

World Cup leading goalscorer

It took me quite a while to get a betting instinct for baseball, and my dabbles with American Football are not proving rewarding at the moment so I'll give it a skip for a while. The season is so short comparatively that it's not worth studying too seriously. Instead I had a look to the future and the world cup leading goalscorer prices. I noticed a big differential on Kaka, from 25 to 80-1, and on looking at it a bit more closely, it's certainly worth a go. To start, a value bet has to have a player from a team that'll go a long way, and Brazil look good to go all the way. In 1998 I had Davor Suker at 25-1 and was feeling pretty comfortable with his 3-goal lead going into the final, especially when Ronaldo was touch-and-go to play, and then didn't really play at all, but I nearly had a heart attack when Zidane scored two early headers and looked like scoring from any ball into the box. Anyway, Brazil are sure to score a lot this time and with Ronaldo not looking sharp, and Robinho and Ronaldinho not natural goalscorers, I think Kaka could be a good thing.

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