Monday, February 20, 2006

England bowling bet

The market for England's leading wicket-taker in India is fairly open and there are are a few factors to take into consideration. The England pace attack is clearly unsuited to the conditions and the pitches. With the quartet quoted between about 3-1 and 9-2 and little to pick between them there is no obvious value bet. But the slow bowlers are likely to be just as innocuous, and none of the 3 are certain starters. It is likely that very few wickets will be taken by England in a Test series scenario, and that those that do will be spread around with no standout performer. I remember Graeme Hick once being leading wicket-taker in India, and I think that a surprise could be in store again when few wickets need to be taken to be top. As a near-certain starter, sure to be used as a fill-in in tiring conditions, and perhaps liable to induce some over-confident strokes, Ian Bell looks one of the better 100-1 bets I've seen.

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