A perfect bet
To me, the perfect bet: is based on method rather than selection so that no thought needs to be placed, "blind" in other words; it is rewarding in terms of watching the event unfold, and it in fact enhances an event; it is a value bet and inherently profitable.
I might have found it. For a few months I've been betting blind on Hills' "match action" on live televised football games, backing over 100 points. With 10 points a goal, sending off and penalty, and 3 points a corner or yellow card, it brightens up games in which I have no obvious interest, saving me from backing a side I don't like at the biggest price, and staying clear of a big loser in the first goalscorer markets.
I've looked at the stats from about 4 months and am showing a 30 times profit to a level stake. If this is restricted to just league games (english and spanish) then this roughly doubles as cup games have only made the 100+ point mark a couple of times. Most successes come in games where both sides are committed to going forward and the game is quite close - in unevenly-matched games even when the better side scores a lot of goals early they tend to ease off and not score "points", but then to discriminate between the merits of different matches and to start looking at the price, which varies, but not markedly, would be to lose the systematic appeal of the bet.
I might have found it. For a few months I've been betting blind on Hills' "match action" on live televised football games, backing over 100 points. With 10 points a goal, sending off and penalty, and 3 points a corner or yellow card, it brightens up games in which I have no obvious interest, saving me from backing a side I don't like at the biggest price, and staying clear of a big loser in the first goalscorer markets.
I've looked at the stats from about 4 months and am showing a 30 times profit to a level stake. If this is restricted to just league games (english and spanish) then this roughly doubles as cup games have only made the 100+ point mark a couple of times. Most successes come in games where both sides are committed to going forward and the game is quite close - in unevenly-matched games even when the better side scores a lot of goals early they tend to ease off and not score "points", but then to discriminate between the merits of different matches and to start looking at the price, which varies, but not markedly, would be to lose the systematic appeal of the bet.


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