Saturday, March 04, 2006

MLB season bets

Most of the transactions have been completed for the upcoming season and as the first Classic and Spring Training games have started I felt it time to make some divisional bets. I would never back against the Yankees, and wouldn't back them for the division at long odds-on; St Louis look no value against a potentially-stronger Cubs; and while the Mets' huge investments should give them every chance experience shows you could never back against the Braves. So, left with only 3 divisions to analyse. The perennially disappointing Giants are favourites for the NLW, which means there must be value available, and I think the Dodgers represent it at 2-1. I think the pitching looks a lot stronger than last year, Gagne should be back healthy, and there looks to be enough offence. I think the White Sox are in for a fall after winning so many close games last year, and while Cleveland looked the team in the ascendancy, I think that momentum cannot carry them all the way past a shaky rotation. Instead I've gone for the Twins, the rotation looks good, and it will need everyone to contribute offensively, but at 11/2 they're worth a shot. Also, for the rotation and speed, rather than offensive explosiveness, I think the Angels are the most solid bet for the ALW. I also think, after years of frustrations against them, it's better to get Johan Santana and the LAA bullpen on my side.

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